INFOKU , SEMARANG -Corona or COVID -19 cases in Semarang City continue to increase.
The local Health Office predicts that the peak increase in COVID-19 cases will occur from February to March
Head of the Semarang City Health Service, M Abdul Hakam said that until this afternoon there were 86 cases of Corona, consisting of 66 residents of Semarang City and 20 residents from outside the city who were being treated in Semarang City.
"Today, the number of cases increased more than the initial period in January. Until this afternoon there were 86 cases in Semarang City, indeed most of them were residents of Semarang City," said Hakam in his office, Wednesday (2/22/2022).
Meanwhile, from data on standbycorona.semarangkota.go.id, when accessed on Wednesday (2/2) at 16.00 WIB, the number of COVID-19 cases in Semarang City was recorded at 97 cases. The details are 75 people from Semarang and 22 people from outside the city.
Hakam also showed 3 graphs of predictions for the increase in COVID-19 in Semarang City. The first prediction is the prediction of normal cases, there is an increase and the peak is in mid-February and then falls sharply in early March. After that the cases will be constant below 5 per day.
The second prediction is the normal-worst case with information that it is predicted that additional cases will consistently appear until the peak in late February and start to decline in early March, but with quite extreme numbers.
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After the February wave, it is estimated that COVID cases will begin to recede and start to be constant with finding cases of under 5 per day.
The third prediction is a case with a new factor. It is predicted that there will be new factors causing the increase outside the known variables.
Consistent Addition
It is predicted that there will be additional cases consistently until the peak in late February and starting to decline in early March, but with a number that is quite extreme. The emergence of the next peak case is in Idul Fitri, with a constant trend of case finding in late March to late June.
"Travelers are actually dominant or those with high mobility levels, this is what actually contributed the most. Of course, if we look at it like this, the progress is automatically very low," explained Hakam.
He explained that there are several clusters in Semarang City, including offices and schools, but Hakam did not mention the number. Therefore, in order to suppress the COVID-19 cluster, patients are advised to be in integrated isolation.
"From the existing cases, there are clusters, from some of those clusters are there still active, this is why the policy of the Semarang City Government based on the results of the coordination meeting, which is isoman, we try to shift everything to isoters because the isoters are still capable. Hopefully it doesn't spread to others, " he said.
"Of course we have prepared several strategies, including re-activating our friends in supervision, including the Satpol PP, TNI/Polri as well as we will speed up booster vaccinations," added Hakam.
Omicron Regarding the case of the Omicron variant, up to now 6 have been identified and all have recovered.
Then at the end of January there were 23 probable Omicron cases, which means there are signs even though it must be confirmed again with the WGS test.
